Author: Qinghe Liu; Zhicheng Liu; Junkai Zhu; Yuhao Zhu; Deqiang Li; Zefei Gao; Liuling Zhou; Junyan Yang; Qiao Wang
Title: Assessing the Global Tendency of COVID-19 Outbreak Document date: 2020_3_20
ID: adcptyfj_29
Snippet: While estimating the 0 of the epidemic globally, we ignore the countries whose ultimate cumulative number of confirmed cases are less than 100 by Mar. 28, 2020 and focus on the remaining 96 countries (please refer to appendix). The average basic reproduction number of these countries is 2.49 (95% CI: 2.15 -2.92). As we can notice, COVID-19 is lashing a great part of the world, and the sufferings are not likely to end soon. By estimating the avera.....
Document: While estimating the 0 of the epidemic globally, we ignore the countries whose ultimate cumulative number of confirmed cases are less than 100 by Mar. 28, 2020 and focus on the remaining 96 countries (please refer to appendix). The average basic reproduction number of these countries is 2.49 (95% CI: 2.15 -2.92). As we can notice, COVID-19 is lashing a great part of the world, and the sufferings are not likely to end soon. By estimating the average value of 0 , we obtain the objective information of current situations as well as the importance of epidemic prevention.
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