Author: Asami Anzai; Tetsuro Kobayashi; Natalie M. Linton; Ryo Kinoshita; Katsuma Hayashi; Ayako Suzuki; Yichi Yang; Sungmok Jung; Takeshi Miyama; Andrei R. Akhmetzhanov; Hiroshi Nishiura
Title: Assessing the impact of reduced travel on exportation dynamics of novel coronavirus infection (COVID-19) Document date: 2020_2_17
ID: j1yqn9xg_14
Snippet: We assumed that the distribution of the number of secondary cases generated by a single primary case follows a negative binomial distribution with the basic reproduction number R 0 , i.e., the average number of secondary cases generated by a single primary case, and the dispersion parameter k. The probability of extinction ߨ is then modeled as:.....
Document: We assumed that the distribution of the number of secondary cases generated by a single primary case follows a negative binomial distribution with the basic reproduction number R 0 , i.e., the average number of secondary cases generated by a single primary case, and the dispersion parameter k. The probability of extinction ߨ is then modeled as:
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