Author: Camacho, Anton; Ballesteros, Sébastien; Graham, Andrea L.; Carrat, Fabrice; Ratmann, Oliver; Cazelles, Bernard
Title: Explaining rapid reinfections in multiple-wave influenza outbreaks: Tristan da Cunha 1971 epidemic as a case study Document date: 2011_12_22
ID: 12y420k8_21
Snippet: Our predictive simulations emphasize the paramount role of demographic stochasticity in the multiple-wave infection dynamics on this small island. In particular, given the elevated risk of epidemic fade-out during the low-prevalence inter-wave period, we find that only a stochastic framework can accurately assess alternative reinfection hypotheses......
Document: Our predictive simulations emphasize the paramount role of demographic stochasticity in the multiple-wave infection dynamics on this small island. In particular, given the elevated risk of epidemic fade-out during the low-prevalence inter-wave period, we find that only a stochastic framework can accurately assess alternative reinfection hypotheses.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- demographic stochasticity and low prevalence: 1
- demographic stochasticity and multiple wave: 1
- demographic stochasticity and stochastic framework: 1, 2, 3, 4
- elevated risk and low prevalence: 1, 2
- inter wave period and stochastic framework: 1
- low prevalence and multiple wave: 1
- low prevalence and stochastic framework: 1
- multiple wave and stochastic framework: 1
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date