Author: Gao, Yuanyuan; Zhang, Zuqin; Yao, Wei; Ying, Qi; Long, Cheng; Fu, Xinmiao
Title: Forecasting the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in China: a Boltzmann function-based modeling study Document date: 2020_4_2
ID: 07zfhnwi_8
Snippet: To verify our Boltzmann function-based estimates, we calculated the potential total numbers of deaths in the aforementioned regions by applying Richards function-based regression analyses, which were used to simulate the cumulative numbers of confirmed cases of 2003 SARS in different regions. 4, 5 The potential total numbers of COVID-19 deaths in mainland China, other provinces, Hubei Province, Wuhan City, and other cities were estimated to be 3,.....
Document: To verify our Boltzmann function-based estimates, we calculated the potential total numbers of deaths in the aforementioned regions by applying Richards function-based regression analyses, which were used to simulate the cumulative numbers of confirmed cases of 2003 SARS in different regions. 4, 5 The potential total numbers of COVID-19 deaths in mainland China, other provinces, Hubei Province, Wuhan City, and other cities were estimated to be 3,342 (95% CI, 3,214-3,527) in China; 111 (95% CI, 109-114) in Hubei Province; 3,245 (95% CI, 3,100-3,423) outside Hubei; 2,613 (95% CI, 2,498-2,767) in Wuhan City; and 627 (95% CI, 603-654) outside Wuhan ( Supplementary Fig. 2 online) . These simulated estimates are close to the numbers estimated by the Boltzmann function-based analyses (Table 1) .
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- city Wuhan City Hubei Province province and total number: 1
- confirm case and cumulative number: 1, 2
- confirm case and regression analysis: 1
- confirm case and total number: 1
- cumulative number and different region: 1, 2
- cumulative number and regression analysis: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21
- cumulative number and total number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79
- different region and regression analysis: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
- different region and total number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- function base and total number: 1
- mainland China death and regression analysis: 1
- regression analysis and total number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 73
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date