Selected article for: "basic reproductive number and reproductive number"
Author: Qinghe Liu; Zhicheng Liu; Junkai Zhu; Yuhao Zhu; Deqiang Li; Zefei Gao; Liuling Zhou; Junyan Yang; Qiao Wang
Title: Assessing the Global Tendency of COVID-19 Outbreak
  • Document date: 2020_3_20
    • ID: adcptyfj_66
    Snippet: (1) We collected data before March 28, 2020 to simulate the transmission of the SARS-CoV-2 in 96 countries. The average basic reproductive number R 0 of these countries was estimated to be 2. Table 2 for more details.) (4) Western Europe, Southeast Asia to Oceania, the Middle East, and North America will be the four epicenter with the most severe situation. The epidemic situation in North America and Western Europe are estimated to far exceed tha.....
    Document: (1) We collected data before March 28, 2020 to simulate the transmission of the SARS-CoV-2 in 96 countries. The average basic reproductive number R 0 of these countries was estimated to be 2. Table 2 for more details.) (4) Western Europe, Southeast Asia to Oceania, the Middle East, and North America will be the four epicenter with the most severe situation. The epidemic situation in North America and Western Europe are estimated to far exceed that in China. In addition, North America will be the worst-hit epicenter. (5) The 96 countries or regions were divided into four clusters by clustering algorithm based on epidemiology related parameters , , 1 , 2 , . The discovered four clusters represent low risk, medium risk, high risk and effective control respectively. Based on the similarity of epidemic characteristics, we gave early warning to many countries, including Australia, Ukraine, etc.

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