Selected article for: "arrival time and epidemic trend"
Author: Qinghe Liu; Zhicheng Liu; Deqiang Li; Zefei Gao; Junkai Zhu; Junyan Yang; Qiao Wang
Title: Assessing the Tendency of 2019-nCoV (COVID-19) Outbreak in China
  • Document date: 2020_2_11
    • ID: 5dd89gnm_58
    Snippet: March 12 -March 15). The peak values of more than 73.5% of provinces and regions in China will be controlled within 1000. Rather than larger outbreak, the estimated number of infective patinets in Hubei(in which Wuhan is situated) presents a front and steep feature, manifesting the overall trend that the epidemic tends to be consistent. (3) The predicted peak value in China except Hubei is 13806 (95% CI: 11926 -15845). The estimated peak value in.....
    Document: March 12 -March 15). The peak values of more than 73.5% of provinces and regions in China will be controlled within 1000. Rather than larger outbreak, the estimated number of infective patinets in Hubei(in which Wuhan is situated) presents a front and steep feature, manifesting the overall trend that the epidemic tends to be consistent. (3) The predicted peak value in China except Hubei is 13806 (95% CI: 11926 -15845). The estimated peak value in Hubei is estimated to be 63800 (95% CI: 59300 -76500), and its arrival time is on March 3, 2020 (95% CI: Feburary 27 -March 18). The predicted peak value of China is 85500 (95% CI: 76700 -97500).

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