Author: Qinghe Liu; Zhicheng Liu; Deqiang Li; Zefei Gao; Junkai Zhu; Junyan Yang; Qiao Wang
Title: Assessing the Tendency of 2019-nCoV (COVID-19) Outbreak in China Document date: 2020_2_11
ID: 5dd89gnm_2
Snippet: On January 31, 2020, J. Wu et al [12] used data from Dec 31, 2019, to Jan 28, 2020 and thought that the basic reproduction number of infection was estimated by using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods and presented by the the resulting posterior mean and 95% CI. They estimated that the basic reproduction number of the infected in Wuhan in 2019 was 2.68 (95% CI: 2.47-2.86). In addition, as of January 25, the number of infections was 75815 (95% CI: 3.....
Document: On January 31, 2020, J. Wu et al [12] used data from Dec 31, 2019, to Jan 28, 2020 and thought that the basic reproduction number of infection was estimated by using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods and presented by the the resulting posterior mean and 95% CI. They estimated that the basic reproduction number of the infected in Wuhan in 2019 was 2.68 (95% CI: 2.47-2.86). In addition, as of January 25, the number of infections was 75815 (95% CI: 37304-130330). The epidemic doubling time was 6.4 days (95% CI: 5.8-7.1).
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