Author: Asami Anzai; Tetsuro Kobayashi; Natalie M. Linton; Ryo Kinoshita; Katsuma Hayashi; Ayako Suzuki; Yichi Yang; Sungmok Jung; Takeshi Miyama; Andrei R. Akhmetzhanov; Hiroshi Nishiura
Title: Assessing the impact of reduced travel on exportation dynamics of novel coronavirus infection (COVID-19) Document date: 2020_2_17
ID: j1yqn9xg_4
Snippet: In this study, we quantify the impact of the drastic reduction in travel volume-resulting from movement restrictions-on the transmission dynamics outside China. We aim to estimate reductions in the number of exported cases, probability of an outbreak occurring outside China, and any time delay to a major epidemic that may be gained with these policies. We use the example of Japan, the country in Asia that receives the largest number of visitors f.....
Document: In this study, we quantify the impact of the drastic reduction in travel volume-resulting from movement restrictions-on the transmission dynamics outside China. We aim to estimate reductions in the number of exported cases, probability of an outbreak occurring outside China, and any time delay to a major epidemic that may be gained with these policies. We use the example of Japan, the country in Asia that receives the largest number of visitors from China, to calculate our estimates.
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