Selected article for: "actual number and Hubei province"
Author: Qinghe Liu; Zhicheng Liu; Deqiang Li; Zefei Gao; Junkai Zhu; Junyan Yang; Qiao Wang
Title: Assessing the Tendency of 2019-nCoV (COVID-19) Outbreak in China
  • Document date: 2020_2_11
    • ID: 5dd89gnm_52
    Snippet: From January 31 to February 3, 2020, Japan, South Korea, Singapore and other countries began to evaluate nationals from Hubei. Among the sample population in Hubei, the proportion of confirmed diagnosis was 1.1% (95% CI: 0.4% -3.1%) and the actual number of patients in Wuhan during the evacuation period was about 110000 (95% CI: 40000 -310000) [24] . During this period, the proportion of confirmed cases in Wuhan was 46.06% (44.95% -47.21%) in Hub.....
    Document: From January 31 to February 3, 2020, Japan, South Korea, Singapore and other countries began to evaluate nationals from Hubei. Among the sample population in Hubei, the proportion of confirmed diagnosis was 1.1% (95% CI: 0.4% -3.1%) and the actual number of patients in Wuhan during the evacuation period was about 110000 (95% CI: 40000 -310000) [24] . During this period, the proportion of confirmed cases in Wuhan was 46.06% (44.95% -47.21%) in Hubei and the real number of patients in Hubei is estimated to be 238819 (95% CI: 88988 -656641). Flow-SEHIR model is used to fit the data of confirmed number of patients and the estimated value of the real number of patients from January 31 to February 3, respectively. The peak number of patients in Hubei Province is about 403481 (95% CI: 143284 -1166936).

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