Author: Liu, Wendi; Tang, Sanyi; Xiao, Yanni
Title: Model Selection and Evaluation Based on Emerging Infectious Disease Data Sets including A/H1N1 and Ebola Document date: 2015_9_15
ID: 0j4is0n4_63
Snippet: For the results of model selection, the most appropriate model is Logistic model or Richards model which requires only cumulative case data from an epidemic curve ( Table 7 ). Note that for the earlier stages of an epidemic such as Ebola in Guinea the Logistic model cannot fit the data well [12] . However, our main results show that the Logistic model could be a candidate to fit the data with more time points. All those indicate that the model se.....
Document: For the results of model selection, the most appropriate model is Logistic model or Richards model which requires only cumulative case data from an epidemic curve ( Table 7 ). Note that for the earlier stages of an epidemic such as Ebola in Guinea the Logistic model cannot fit the data well [12] . However, our main results show that the Logistic model could be a candidate to fit the data with more time points. All those indicate that the model selection depends on the length of the time series. Moreover, Logistic model is a special case of Richards model with the exponent of deviation parameter 1. Therefore, we conclude that Richards model could be chosen firstly when estimating 0 that require more extensive and detailed data [24, 25] . E. Tjørve and K. M. C. Tjørve [26] indicated that Gompertz model is also a special case of Richards model, but our results indicate that Gompertz model may not be a suitable candidate for describing the data of emerging infectious diseases.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- appropriate model and epidemic curve: 1, 2, 3, 4
- appropriate model and Gompertz model: 1
- appropriate model and infectious disease: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
- appropriate model and logistic model: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
- appropriate model and model selection: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
- appropriate model and richards model: 1, 2
- appropriate model and time series: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
- cumulative case and early stage: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- cumulative case and epidemic curve: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- cumulative case and Gompertz model: 1, 2, 3
- cumulative case and infectious disease: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
- cumulative case and logistic model: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
- cumulative case and richards model: 1, 2, 3, 4
- cumulative case and richards model logistic model: 1, 2, 3
- cumulative case and special case: 1
- cumulative case and time point: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- cumulative case and time series: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19
- deviation exponent and early stage: 1
- deviation exponent and logistic model: 1
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date