Author: Seth Blumberg; Thomas M Lietman; Travis C Porco
Title: Assessing the plausibility of subcritical transmission of 2019-nCoV in the United States Document date: 2020_2_11
ID: 2g8rfzf4_4
Snippet: Here we present a simple analysis for monitoring the upper bound of estimates for R in settings where there are very few cases of disease. This has immediate relevance to the 2019-nCoV virus, but can also be applied to other infectious diseases in the early stage of an epidemic. We focus particular attention on the threshold at which epidemic transition appears possible......
Document: Here we present a simple analysis for monitoring the upper bound of estimates for R in settings where there are very few cases of disease. This has immediate relevance to the 2019-nCoV virus, but can also be applied to other infectious diseases in the early stage of an epidemic. We focus particular attention on the threshold at which epidemic transition appears possible.
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