Author: Guo, Zuiyuan; Xiao, Dan; Li, Dongli; Wang, Xiuhong; Wang, Yayu; Yan, Tiecheng; Wang, Zhiqi
Title: Predicting and Evaluating the Epidemic Trend of Ebola Virus Disease in the 2014-2015 Outbreak and the Effects of Intervention Measures Document date: 2016_4_6
ID: 1amm2hh8_39
Snippet: After a confirmed case is identified in a free environment, his/her close contacts are checked within 24 hours and placed under observation in isolation. Therefore, the term δ ip β I I is subtracted from f(I,D,R). κ denotes the number of new suspected cases (non-EVD infection) when a new confirmed case is reported (excluding confirmed cases derived from the medical staff and close contacts). λ denotes the proportion of confirmed cases in the .....
Document: After a confirmed case is identified in a free environment, his/her close contacts are checked within 24 hours and placed under observation in isolation. Therefore, the term δ ip β I I is subtracted from f(I,D,R). κ denotes the number of new suspected cases (non-EVD infection) when a new confirmed case is reported (excluding confirmed cases derived from the medical staff and close contacts). λ denotes the proportion of confirmed cases in the U block population. k represents the probability of a susceptible person being infected through close contact with a patient with EVD. All of these analyses were conducted in Matlab R2012a (MathWorks, USA, 2012).
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