Author: Guo, Zuiyuan; Xiao, Dan; Li, Dongli; Wang, Xiuhong; Wang, Yayu; Yan, Tiecheng; Wang, Zhiqi
Title: Predicting and Evaluating the Epidemic Trend of Ebola Virus Disease in the 2014-2015 Outbreak and the Effects of Intervention Measures Document date: 2016_4_6
ID: 1amm2hh8_24
Snippet: The basic reproduction number (R 0 ) was used to estimate the effective vaccination rate in the whole population. R 0 represents the average number of secondary cases caused by an infected individual throughout the course of infection in a completely susceptible population and in the absence of control interventions. When R 0 <1, the disease epidemic will decline; when R 0 >1, disease spread will increase [30] . When random and continuous vaccina.....
Document: The basic reproduction number (R 0 ) was used to estimate the effective vaccination rate in the whole population. R 0 represents the average number of secondary cases caused by an infected individual throughout the course of infection in a completely susceptible population and in the absence of control interventions. When R 0 <1, the disease epidemic will decline; when R 0 >1, disease spread will increase [30] . When random and continuous vaccination strategies for susceptible people were undertaken, the number of infected persons in the next generation will be less than 1 if at least R 0 −1 infected persons of the next generation were vaccinated, resulting in a termination of a pandemic. Therefore, the minimum vaccination rate of the population can be expressed as follow:
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