Author: Worden, Lee; Wannier, Rae; Hoff, Nicole A.; Musene, Kamy; Selo, Bernice; Mossoko, Mathias; Okitolonda-Wemakoy, Emile; Muyembe Tamfum, Jean Jacques; Rutherford, George W.; Lietman, Thomas M.; Rimoin, Anne W.; Porco, Travis C.; Kelly, J. Daniel
Title: Projections of epidemic transmission and estimation of vaccination impact during an ongoing Ebola virus disease outbreak in Northeastern Democratic Republic of Congo, as of Feb. 25, 2019 Document date: 2019_8_5
ID: 1lg2203q_34
Snippet: Gott's rule assumes we have no special knowledge of our position on the epidemic curve [39] . Given Y 0 cases reported, assuming a non-informative uniform prior for the portion α of the epidemic observed to date, the corresponding probability density function for the final size Y = Y 0 /α is Y 0 /y 2 , Y 0 � y. We constructed a probability mass function by assigning all probability density to the whole number of days given by the integer part.....
Document: Gott's rule assumes we have no special knowledge of our position on the epidemic curve [39] . Given Y 0 cases reported, assuming a non-informative uniform prior for the portion α of the epidemic observed to date, the corresponding probability density function for the final size Y = Y 0 /α is Y 0 /y 2 , Y 0 � y. We constructed a probability mass function by assigning all probability density to the whole number of days given by the integer part of each value. We used this probability mass function as a projection of the final outbreak size.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- epidemic curve and final size: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
- epidemic curve and outbreak size: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
- epidemic curve and probability density: 1, 2, 3
- final outbreak size and mass function: 1, 2
- final outbreak size and outbreak size: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52
- final outbreak size and probability density: 1, 2
- final outbreak size and probability density function: 1, 2
- final outbreak size and probability mass function: 1, 2
- final outbreak size and value integer: 1
- final outbreak size projection and mass function: 1, 2
- final outbreak size projection and outbreak size: 1, 2
- final outbreak size projection and probability density: 1
- final outbreak size projection and probability density function: 1
- final outbreak size projection and probability mass function: 1, 2
- final outbreak size projection and value integer: 1
- final size and mass function: 1, 2, 3
- final size and outbreak size: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57
- final size and probability density: 1, 2
- final size and probability density function: 1, 2
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date