Author: Seth Blumberg; Thomas M Lietman; Travis C Porco
Title: Assessing the plausibility of subcritical transmission of 2019-nCoV in the United States Document date: 2020_2_11
ID: 2g8rfzf4_3
Snippet: While R is a useful indicator, it is not necessarily constant across geographic regions. Variation in climate, population density, demographics, social interactions, health care access and public health interventions can all affect transmission. It is thus important to re-evaluate the transmissibility of 2019-nCoV in different settings. For example, as of February 7, 2020 there have been twelve cases of 2019-nCoV in the United States 4 . Ten case.....
Document: While R is a useful indicator, it is not necessarily constant across geographic regions. Variation in climate, population density, demographics, social interactions, health care access and public health interventions can all affect transmission. It is thus important to re-evaluate the transmissibility of 2019-nCoV in different settings. For example, as of February 7, 2020 there have been twelve cases of 2019-nCoV in the United States 4 . Ten cases are due to importation and two are due to person-to-person transmission within the United States. A key question is whether this is consistent with the R seen in Wuhan, and whether epidemic spread is possible in the United States.
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