Author: Tom Britton
Title: Basic estimation-prediction techniques for Covid-19, and a prediction for Stockholm Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: 0fmeu4h4_10
Snippet: We hence have that the mean generation time equals g = (R 0 − 1)/r. The GEM has two model parameters: the rate of infectious contact λ that infectious individuals have, and the rate of recovery γ (e.g. [4] ). The basic reproduction number for GEM equals λ/γ (the rate of infectious contacts multiplied by the mean duration of the infectious period 1/γ. The rate of infecting someone s time units after infection is λe −γs , and since the m.....
Document: We hence have that the mean generation time equals g = (R 0 − 1)/r. The GEM has two model parameters: the rate of infectious contact λ that infectious individuals have, and the rate of recovery γ (e.g. [4] ). The basic reproduction number for GEM equals λ/γ (the rate of infectious contacts multiplied by the mean duration of the infectious period 1/γ. The rate of infecting someone s time units after infection is λe −γs , and since the mean number 2 . CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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