Author: Cauchemez, Simon; Epperson, Scott; Biggerstaff, Matthew; Swerdlow, David; Finelli, Lyn; Ferguson, Neil M.
Title: Using Routine Surveillance Data to Estimate the Epidemic Potential of Emerging Zoonoses: Application to the Emergence of US Swine Origin Influenza A H3N2v Virus Document date: 2013_3_5
ID: 16c8dwfq_51
Snippet: Nonetheless, it is interesting to note that our estimate of R of around 0.5 for H3N2v-M in 2011 seems larger than what is suggested by data collected in summer 2012. We believe that these differences could at least partly be explained by seasonal variations in the ability of the virus to transmit [27] . Indeed, five of the six human-to-human transmission events detected in 2011 occurred in November-December; the remaining one happened in late Aug.....
Document: Nonetheless, it is interesting to note that our estimate of R of around 0.5 for H3N2v-M in 2011 seems larger than what is suggested by data collected in summer 2012. We believe that these differences could at least partly be explained by seasonal variations in the ability of the virus to transmit [27] . Indeed, five of the six human-to-human transmission events detected in 2011 occurred in November-December; the remaining one happened in late August.
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