Author: Cauchemez, Simon; Epperson, Scott; Biggerstaff, Matthew; Swerdlow, David; Finelli, Lyn; Ferguson, Neil M.
Title: Using Routine Surveillance Data to Estimate the Epidemic Potential of Emerging Zoonoses: Application to the Emergence of US Swine Origin Influenza A H3N2v Virus Document date: 2013_3_5
ID: 16c8dwfq_10
Snippet: We consider two surveillance scenarios: (1) ''Routine sentinel surveillance alone'' where we assume that each case has a probability r of being detected by routine sentinel surveillance; (2) ''Routine sentinel surveillance triggering outbreak investigation'', where we again assume that each case initially has a probability r of being detected by routine sentinel surveillance, but that when a case is detected, this may trigger an outbreak investig.....
Document: We consider two surveillance scenarios: (1) ''Routine sentinel surveillance alone'' where we assume that each case has a probability r of being detected by routine sentinel surveillance; (2) ''Routine sentinel surveillance triggering outbreak investigation'', where we again assume that each case initially has a probability r of being detected by routine sentinel surveillance, but that when a case is detected, this may trigger an outbreak investigation. In the latter scenario, once a case is detected in a cluster, the detection probability for other cases in the same cluster may increase.
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