Author: Tom Britton
Title: Basic prediction methodology for covid-19: estimation and sensitivity considerations Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: hsgzkpg4_40
Snippet: Further, combinations of preventive measures typically have a very uncertain overall magnitude Ï, and it was shown how this uncertainty carries over to high uncertainty in estimates of the effective reproduction number R E and the corresponding decline in growth rate r E . However, it was also illustrated how to estimate Ï if cumulative deaths are collected a bit longer than s d days ahead before estimating......
Document: Further, combinations of preventive measures typically have a very uncertain overall magnitude Ï, and it was shown how this uncertainty carries over to high uncertainty in estimates of the effective reproduction number R E and the corresponding decline in growth rate r E . However, it was also illustrated how to estimate Ï if cumulative deaths are collected a bit longer than s d days ahead before estimating.
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