Author: Beam, Andrea; Goede, Dane; Fox, Andrew; McCool, Mary Jane; Wall, Goldlin; Haley, Charles; Morrison, Robert
Title: A Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea Virus Outbreak in One Geographic Region of the United States: Descriptive Epidemiology and Investigation of the Possibility of Airborne Virus Spread Document date: 2015_12_28
ID: 05d1mhkq_20
Snippet: The direction method [13] in ClusterSeer was also used to evaluate the direction of disease spread. This method tests for a space-time interaction and calculates the average direction of the spread. A relative model was used, which connects each case to all subsequent cases and is appropriate for directional processes that operate on a relatively lengthy time scale. The null hypothesis is that cases following (in a temporal sense) a given case ar.....
Document: The direction method [13] in ClusterSeer was also used to evaluate the direction of disease spread. This method tests for a space-time interaction and calculates the average direction of the spread. A relative model was used, which connects each case to all subsequent cases and is appropriate for directional processes that operate on a relatively lengthy time scale. The null hypothesis is that cases following (in a temporal sense) a given case are located in a random direction. The alternative hypothesis is that subsequent cases are located in a specific direction. We selected the relative model for two reasons. First, case sites likely shed virus for several weeks. Second, this outbreak lasted only 31 days. Therefore, we believe that each case site had the potential to infect subsequent sites throughout the duration of the outbreak. ClusterSeer provides the following results: a significance test for the above hypothesis, the average direction of disease spread, and a measure of the variance in the angles between connected cases.
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