Author: Guo, Zuiyuan; Xiao, Dan; Li, Dongli; Wang, Xiuhong; Wang, Yayu; Yan, Tiecheng; Wang, Zhiqi
Title: Predicting and Evaluating the Epidemic Trend of Ebola Virus Disease in the 2014-2015 Outbreak and the Effects of Intervention Measures Document date: 2016_4_6
ID: 1amm2hh8_18
Snippet: Assuming that no control and prevention measures were taken, understanding the effects of an unchecked EVD outbreak on the total population number would help us better appreciate how harmful EVD has the potential to be. Using an SIR model, we found that the population would be dramatically decreased in a short time in the absence of control and prevention measures. These results support an overwhelming risk from an EVD outbreak. The SIR model als.....
Document: Assuming that no control and prevention measures were taken, understanding the effects of an unchecked EVD outbreak on the total population number would help us better appreciate how harmful EVD has the potential to be. Using an SIR model, we found that the population would be dramatically decreased in a short time in the absence of control and prevention measures. These results support an overwhelming risk from an EVD outbreak. The SIR model also indicated that the s, i, and r populations fluctuate periodically around their dynamic equilibrium points. These results support the idea EVD epidemics may break out periodically, though the disease will reach a dynamic equilibrium point with a shorter period between epidemics of progressively weaker intensity. Periodic fluctuations of EVD epidemics are similar to those of other diseases, such as the measles and chickenpox [24, 25] . Therefore, we should be vigilant for the reemergence of EVD.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- equilibrium point and SIR model: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
- EVD epidemic and SIR model: 1
- evd outbreak and short time: 1, 2, 3
- periodic fluctuation and SIR model: 1
- population number and short time decrease: 1
- population number and SIR model: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
- population number and total population number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
- prevention control and short time decrease: 1
- prevention control and SIR model: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
- prevention control and total population number: 1, 2
- short period and SIR model: 1, 2, 3
- short period and total population number: 1, 2, 3
- short time and SIR model: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
- short time and total population number: 1, 2
- short time decrease and SIR model: 1
- short time decrease and total population number: 1
- SIR model and total population number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date