Author: Antonio Scala; Andrea Flori; Alessandro Spelta; Emanuele Brugnoli; Matteo Cinelli; Walter Quattrociocchi; Fabio Pammolli
Title: Between Geography and Demography: Key Interdependencies and Exit Mechanisms for Covid-19 Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: bf098qcr_8
Snippet: Especially in the early phases of the epidemic -i.e. the ones characterised by an exponential growth -different models sharing the same reproduction number R 0 can fit the data with a similar accuracy (see Sec. 8.1). Since we are interested in the qualitative scenarios and not in the detailed predictions, we adapt the SIR model, the most basic epidemic model for flu-like epidemics, to the observed data available in the Italian case......
Document: Especially in the early phases of the epidemic -i.e. the ones characterised by an exponential growth -different models sharing the same reproduction number R 0 can fit the data with a similar accuracy (see Sec. 8.1). Since we are interested in the qualitative scenarios and not in the detailed predictions, we adapt the SIR model, the most basic epidemic model for flu-like epidemics, to the observed data available in the Italian case.
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