Selected article for: "infection time and initial value"

Author: Antonio Scala; Andrea Flori; Alessandro Spelta; Emanuele Brugnoli; Matteo Cinelli; Walter Quattrociocchi; Fabio Pammolli
Title: Between Geography and Demography: Key Interdependencies and Exit Mechanisms for Covid-19
  • Document date: 2020_4_14
  • ID: bf098qcr_30
    Snippet: In our model, we first consider a simple exit strategy consisting in releasing the lockdown at a time t Unlock after the peak of O has occurred. For instance, we imagine that infection proceeds uncontrolled up to time t Lock ; in the following lockdown period [t Lock , t Unlock ], the transmission coefficient β is reduced by a factor α; finally, β returns to its initial value and herd immunity is responsible for the dampening of the epidemics......
    Document: In our model, we first consider a simple exit strategy consisting in releasing the lockdown at a time t Unlock after the peak of O has occurred. For instance, we imagine that infection proceeds uncontrolled up to time t Lock ; in the following lockdown period [t Lock , t Unlock ], the transmission coefficient β is reduced by a factor α; finally, β returns to its initial value and herd immunity is responsible for the dampening of the epidemics.

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