Author: Tom Britton
                    Title: Basic prediction methodology for covid-19: estimation and sensitivity considerations  Document date: 2020_3_30
                    ID: hsgzkpg4_29
                    
                    Snippet: If the infection fatality risk f is known, then the predicted number of case fatalities is N * f * Ï„ , where as before N denotes the population size. This estimate is very sensitive to f . Since f is typically very small, possible values may well vary by a factor 10, implying that predictions of case fatalities will also vary by a factor 10......
                    
                    
                    
                     
                    
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            
                                Document: If the infection fatality risk f is known, then the predicted number of case fatalities is N * f * Ï„ , where as before N denotes the population size. This estimate is very sensitive to f . Since f is typically very small, possible values may well vary by a factor 10, implying that predictions of case fatalities will also vary by a factor 10.
 
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