Selected article for: "fitted curve and incubation period"
Author: Wenlei Xiao; Qiang Liu; J Huan; Pengpeng Sun; Liuquan Wang; Chenxin Zang; Sanying Zhu; Liansheng Gao
Title: A Cybernetics-based Dynamic Infection Model for Analyzing SARS-COV-2 Infection Stability and Predicting Uncontrollable Risks
  • Document date: 2020_3_17
    • ID: 2v5wkjrq_41
    Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint intercity traffic from Wuhan to Shanghai is searched from Baidu map big data. After simulation, the fitted curve of Shanghai is given in Fig. 4 . The Poisson distribution factor λ of the incubation period was estimated to be 5.5 (as shown in Fig. 7) , and the basic reproductive number R 0 in Shanghai was 2.5 (before the first-level response) and 0.55 (after the first-level response, 95% CI, 0.48 to 0.59). P.....
    Document: The copyright holder for this preprint intercity traffic from Wuhan to Shanghai is searched from Baidu map big data. After simulation, the fitted curve of Shanghai is given in Fig. 4 . The Poisson distribution factor λ of the incubation period was estimated to be 5.5 (as shown in Fig. 7) , and the basic reproductive number R 0 in Shanghai was 2.5 (before the first-level response) and 0.55 (after the first-level response, 95% CI, 0.48 to 0.59). Provided the latest R 0 is stabilized, the final number of infected cases in Shanghai was estimated to be 344 (95% CI, 311 to 378). 6 . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.

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