Author: Norden E Huang; Fangli Qiao; Ka-Kit Tung
Title: A data-driven tool for tracking and predicting the course of COVID-19 epidemic as it evolves Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: mxen3n0k_12
Snippet: for two incubation periods. The first incubation period is to allow the asymptomatic 108 infected to show symptoms and the second period to allow those that are infected 109 by the asymptomatic infected to show symptoms. For prediction purpose, the date 110 when the N(t) is zero is estimated by 3 standard deviations from its peak. These 111 two quantities can be extracted from the data as the epidemic is developing. Our 112 estimate of the end of.....
Document: for two incubation periods. The first incubation period is to allow the asymptomatic 108 infected to show symptoms and the second period to allow those that are infected 109 by the asymptomatic infected to show symptoms. For prediction purpose, the date 110 when the N(t) is zero is estimated by 3 standard deviations from its peak. These 111 two quantities can be extracted from the data as the epidemic is developing. Our 112 estimate of the end of the epidemic is earlier than most model predictions, usually 113 significantly so, because it does not depend on the herd immunity concept. 114 115
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- epidemic develop and incubation period: 1, 2
- epidemic develop and model prediction: 1
- epidemic develop and second period: 1
- epidemic end and herd immunity: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14
- epidemic end and herd immunity concept: 1, 2
- epidemic end and herd immunity concept depend: 1
- epidemic end and incubation period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
- epidemic end and model prediction: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
- epidemic end and prediction purpose: 1
- epidemic end and second period: 1, 2, 3
- epidemic end and standard deviation: 1, 2, 3, 4
- herd immunity and incubation period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
- herd immunity and model prediction: 1, 2, 3
- herd immunity and prediction purpose: 1
- herd immunity and second period: 1, 2, 3
- herd immunity and standard deviation: 1, 2, 3
- herd immunity concept and incubation period: 1
- herd immunity concept and prediction purpose: 1
- herd immunity concept and second period: 1
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date