Author: Moritz U. G. Kraemer; T. Alex Perkins; Derek A.T. Cummings; Rubeena Zakar; Simon I. Hay; David L. Smith; Robert C. Reiner
Title: Big city, small world: Density, contact rates, and transmission of dengue across Pakistan. Document date: 2015_4_27
ID: 8ilzm51q_31
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not peer-reviewed) is the . https://doi.org/10.1101/018481 doi: bioRxiv preprint were then added to the full model and backwards selection was repeated. The resulting model 245 explained 78.6% of the variance, had an adjusted R-squared of 0.763 and is superior to the 246 final climatological model based on AIC (699.23 versus 714.83). Yearly averaged EVI, NDVI 247 and precipitation were all signifi.....
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not peer-reviewed) is the . https://doi.org/10.1101/018481 doi: bioRxiv preprint were then added to the full model and backwards selection was repeated. The resulting model 245 explained 78.6% of the variance, had an adjusted R-squared of 0.763 and is superior to the 246 final climatological model based on AIC (699.23 versus 714.83). Yearly averaged EVI, NDVI 247 and precipitation were all significant (p-values of 8.7 x 10 -5 , 0.00024, and 0.00028, 248 respectively). Again, the derived Ae. albopictus map was significant (p-value = 0.008163). For 249 climatological covariates fit as smooth splines, only temperature and lagged temperature were The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not peer-reviewed) is the . https://doi.org/10.1101/018481 doi: bioRxiv preprint
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