Author: Chowell, Gerardo
Title: Fitting dynamic models to epidemic outbreaks with quantified uncertainty: A primer for parameter uncertainty, identifiability, and forecasts Document date: 2017_8_12
ID: 3aa8wgr0_15
Snippet: The GRM is an extension of the original Richards growth model (Richards, 1959) with three free parameters, which has been fitted to a range of logistic-type epidemic curves (Dinh et al., 2016; Hsieh & Cheng, 2006; Ma et al., 2014; Turner et al., 1976; Wang, Wu, & Yang, 2012) . When C 0 ðtÞ represents the number of new infected cases at time t, the Richards model is given by the following differential equation:.....
Document: The GRM is an extension of the original Richards growth model (Richards, 1959) with three free parameters, which has been fitted to a range of logistic-type epidemic curves (Dinh et al., 2016; Hsieh & Cheng, 2006; Ma et al., 2014; Turner et al., 1976; Wang, Wu, & Yang, 2012) . When C 0 ðtÞ represents the number of new infected cases at time t, the Richards model is given by the following differential equation:
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