Author: Chowell, Gerardo
Title: Fitting dynamic models to epidemic outbreaks with quantified uncertainty: A primer for parameter uncertainty, identifiability, and forecasts Document date: 2017_8_12
ID: 3aa8wgr0_38
Snippet: If the goal is to give more weight to the most recent data, simple exponential smoothing can be used to assign higher weights to more recent data points relative to older data points. Specifically, the weights assigned to observations decrease exponentially as we move from recent to older data in the time series. Thus, the corresponding weight for observation t i is given by:.....
Document: If the goal is to give more weight to the most recent data, simple exponential smoothing can be used to assign higher weights to more recent data points relative to older data points. Specifically, the weights assigned to observations decrease exponentially as we move from recent to older data in the time series. Thus, the corresponding weight for observation t i is given by:
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