Author: Chowell, Gerardo
Title: Fitting dynamic models to epidemic outbreaks with quantified uncertainty: A primer for parameter uncertainty, identifiability, and forecasts Document date: 2017_8_12
ID: 3aa8wgr0_17
Snippet: where 0 p 1. At the early stages of the epidemic, this model enables us to capture different growth profiles ranging from constant incidence (p ¼ 0), polynomial growth (0 < p < 1), to exponential growth (p ¼ 1) . This model has been useful to generate post-peak forecasts of Zika and Ebola epidemics (Chowell et al., 2016b; Pell et al., 2016) ......
Document: where 0 p 1. At the early stages of the epidemic, this model enables us to capture different growth profiles ranging from constant incidence (p ¼ 0), polynomial growth (0 < p < 1), to exponential growth (p ¼ 1) . This model has been useful to generate post-peak forecasts of Zika and Ebola epidemics (Chowell et al., 2016b; Pell et al., 2016) .
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