Selected article for: "early phase and secondary case number"
Author: Chowell, Gerardo
Title: Fitting dynamic models to epidemic outbreaks with quantified uncertainty: A primer for parameter uncertainty, identifiability, and forecasts
  • Document date: 2017_8_12
    • ID: 3aa8wgr0_23
    Snippet: In a completely susceptible population, e.g., Sð0ÞzN, the number of infectious individuals grows following an exponential function during the early epidemic growth phase, e.g., IðtÞzI 0 e ðbÀgÞt where the average number of secondary cases generated per primary case, R 0 , is simply given by the product of the mean transmission rate (b) and the mean infectious period ( 1 g ) as follows:.....
    Document: In a completely susceptible population, e.g., Sð0ÞzN, the number of infectious individuals grows following an exponential function during the early epidemic growth phase, e.g., IðtÞzI 0 e ðbÀgÞt where the average number of secondary cases generated per primary case, R 0 , is simply given by the product of the mean transmission rate (b) and the mean infectious period ( 1 g ) as follows:

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